S&P up 1.76% for the holiday week. Delta reports Thursday. FOMC minutes Wednesday. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
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The Dow Just Set an All-Time Record. The S&P Is Back Above 7,400. Q2 Earnings Season Begins Now.
By The Numbers
- 52,900. The Dow Jones Industrial Average's new all-time record close on Wednesday — up 2% for the holiday week. The index broke 52,000 for the first time Monday, then kept climbing.
- +1.76%. The S&P 500's gain for the shortened week. Markets closed Thursday and Friday for Independence Day. Mag 7 stocks drove more than 90% of the index's weekly move.
- $17.5 billion. Revenue analysts expect from Delta Air Lines when Q2 earnings land Thursday morning — the first big report of earnings season. Delta beat estimates in four of the last five quarters.
- 20%+. Expected S&P 500 earnings growth for Q2 2026. If it prints, that's the second consecutive quarter above 20% — a level the index has not sustained since 2021.
- Wednesday, July 8. When the FOMC minutes from the June 16-17 meeting drop at 2 PM ET. Fed Chair Warsh has signaled inflation is still too high. The minutes tell us what the committee discussed.
The BriefThe S&P gained 1.76% in a holiday-shortened week while the Dow hit a brand-new all-time record of 52,900 on Wednesday, July 2. Mag 7 stocks drove more than 90% of the index's weekly gain after a bruising end to June that saw semiconductors shed 7-8% on AI-spending fears that turned out to be premature. This week the calendar gets busy fast: Delta Air Lines drops Q2 earnings Thursday morning with analysts expecting $17.5 billion in revenue, which would make it the airline's most profitable summer quarter ever. Across the full S&P 500, Q2 earnings growth is projected above 20% — the second consecutive quarter at that level. Before the earnings flood hits, the FOMC minutes from the June 16-17 meeting land Wednesday at 2 PM ET, giving traders their next read on how the Fed is thinking about rates heading into the July 28-29 meeting.
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Stock of the Week Delta Air Lines (DAL)
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