Plus: SpaceX's $4.3B Nasdaq-100 trap. And Palantir's supervillain manifesto. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
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SpaceX (SPCX) went public June 12 at a $1.77 trillion valuation, the largest IPO in history. The stock hit $225 before falling more than 30% to near $155. Now comes the next catalyst. On July 7, SpaceX joins the Nasdaq-100. That triggers an estimated $4.3 billion in mandatory institutional buying from index funds required to own the stock. It's mechanical, time-limited, and real. But lurking right behind it: the lock-up expiry. Roughly 20% of insider shares become sellable after Q2 earnings in late July. The gap between those two events may be the most important trade in SPCX right now.
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Sponsored — Advantage Gold On July 29th, the Fed picks your poison On July 29th, the Federal Reserve makes a call that touches every dollar you've saved. They're cornered. Raise rates and the market cracks. Cut them and the dollar buys less by morning. Goldman, JP Morgan, and UBS are projecting gold at $6,300 an ounce. It trades near $4,177 today. A free guide shows you how to protect your 401(k) or IRA before the Fed decides. Tax-free. No penalty. See it before July 29th › |
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Palantir (PLTR) published a 22-point manifesto in April. A UK member of Parliament called it 'the ramblings of a supervillain.' ESG funds sold. The stock is down 36% this year. Meanwhile, the business posted 85% revenue growth in Q1 2026. The U.S. Army handed them a $10 billion, 10-year contract. U.S. commercial revenue is growing at 120% annually. The analyst consensus sits at Buy with a $182 target, implying 61% upside from $113. The question is whether a 129x P/E and a CEO who publishes manifestos is a problem or a feature.
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Micron (MU) just reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $41.5 billion, up 346% year-over-year. Gross margins hit 84.9%. Q4 guidance of $49-$51 billion crushed the $43.2 billion estimate by $6-8 billion. The stock is up 259% this year from a 52-week low of $103.38. Its entire HBM capacity is sold out through 2027. Customers have paid $22 billion in deposits under take-or-pay contracts. And yet one prominent analyst just published a Sell call with a $1,014 target on a stock trading near $1,140. Here's why the bear case isn't crazy, even against the best numbers in Micron's history.
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